Belatedly, the PMI, Week 9
That’s what I did yesterday, only to get buried under desk work for the next 12 hours. I contemplated having a Red Bull after work and doing this before bed, but figured I need to make at least some effort to be a reasonably healthy person and get some sleep.
Soooooooooooo, here we go with the Index, which today comes with this introductory note:
Remember a month or so ago when teams two through eight were almost indistinguishable? That, it seems, is no longer the case. As we head toward the stretch run, here’s the way I see the MAAC pecking order:
Siena, as has always been the case, is in a class of its own. You don’t have to be undefeated to earn that distinction, and the Saints, barring an unforeseen collapse, will enter the MAAC tournament as the prohibitive favorites to win it.
I’d now classify Niagara and Rider as the two teams that pose legitimate threats to Siena’s crown. The Broncs have already beaten the Saints, and at 10-3 in the league and riding a five-game winning streak, it’s clear Niagara belongs in that category as well. So that’s the second group.
The third group is the middle of the pack. For now, that’s Manhattan, Fairfield, Loyola and Iona.
The fourth group is the bottom of the pack – teams that have little more than a longshot to make noise in the tournament – and for now, that group is Saint Peter’s, Marist and Canisius.
Here’s the list:
1. Siena (19-6, 13-1, 29)
Saints lost some luster with Rider loss, but fact remains that they’re on a different level than everyone else. Ryan Rossiter (14 points, 18 boards against Loyola) is a skinnier, goofier mid-major version of Shane Battier.
2. Niagara (19-6, 10-3, 73)
Bilal Benn (9 boards per game) is a defensive monster, Eagles have won five straight, and in spite of shaky performance at Siena, there’s no doubt they’re contenders.
3. Rider (14-9, 9-4, 136)
Tommy Dempsey downplayed it, but win Saturday was one of the biggest for Broncs in recent memory. And here’s a newsflash: Suddenly, a lot of teams would love to have Justin Robinson.
4. Manhattan (14-10, 8-6, 168)
Hard to imagine a more emphatic statement than the one Jaspers gave to Iona Monday. In site of earlier loss at the Garden, it’s their town, they’ve won three straight in convincing fashion, and an upset Thursday in Albany isn’t unfathomable.
5. Fairfield (15-10, 8-6, 86)
Jon Han fiasco makes player AND former team look bad, and despite three-game winning streak that ended Sunday, Stags just don’t have the firepower to match up with league’s best.
6. Loyola (11-15, 6-8, 154)
Hounds are still hard to figure out. Last two losses have been respectable, so in spite of three-game skid, they’re not in an outright freefall. But if they want middle-of-the-pack status, they better beat Iona Friday.
7. Iona (11-14, 6-8, 185)
Three weeks ago – when only losses in five-game stretch were by a point each at Siena and Rider – Gaels looked like contenders. But contenders don’t get held under 40 points in a rivalry game, which maroon and gold somehow did Monday.
8. Saint Peter’s (7-17, 4-10, 269)
Wesley Jenkins is having a really nice year, Peacocks finished off a sweep of Canisius, and they probably won’t finish last. But they’re a virtual shoo-in for the play-in round and won’t be playing past Saturday at the tournament.
9. Marist (7-19, 3-11, 261)
Things have gone so badly in Poughkeepsie of late that even the once-unbeatable Marist women have two MAAC losses and aren’t a lock to win the regular season title. Thank God for the band.
10. Canisius (7-17, 2-12, 228)
The more I think of it, the more I think the Golden Griffin is a really cool mascot. Other than that, I have nothing good to say here. … Marist at home on the 27th is Griffs’ best shot at winning a game in February.
3 Comments:
Iona may be to high. 11 points in a half yuck
For Fairfield, it all comes down to how healthy guys like Yorel Hawkins, Herbie Allen and Greg Nero are come tournament time and Coach Cooley has made that point to me multiple times.
I think the Stags are a better team than Manhattan and should be able to handle the Jaspers at home to seal the fourth spot, but the game against Marist tomorrow is key, the Stags need to win that game because it looks like losses to Rider and Niagara will be coming before the end of the season.
But the one good thing to take away from the massive amount of injuries is that guys like Lyndon Jordan, Ryan Olander, Sean Crawford and Jamal Turner are getting game experience, which a lack of obviously cost the Stags against the Purple Eagles.
Ben,
Great blog, you have come a long way since the Dolan Hall Bathouse party's.
Keep on keepin on!
-Roosevelt Crawley
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